Does Pick1 actually win?
The honest answer is on a public ledger that updates as games finish. Here's what it says right now.
Pick1's public ledger currently shows 56.3% wins across 412 graded picks (232 wins). Every single one is timestamped and viewable at pick1reviews.com/wins. No back-dated record, no cherry-picking — the data updates as new picks are graded.
Where can I see the wins?
Every graded pick lives at pick1reviews.com/wins. Filter by league. Each card links to the full AI reasoning, the confidence score it was published with, and the final score of the game.
Why publish losses too?
Because a track record with no losses is a track record with no truth. Tipsters survive on selection bias — they delete the misses. Pick1 publishes them. The win rate you see is the only win rate.
What's the win rate by league?
Latest league snapshot: WNBA 74.0% on 50 picks; UFC 42.4% on 85 picks; MLB 56.3% on 16 picks; MLS 51.9% on 27 picks; WC 50.0% on 6 picks; ATP 54.0% on 126 picks; LIGAMX 65.5% on 29 picks; NFL 100.0% on 1 picks; IPL 55.2% on 29 picks; UCL 73.0% on 37 picks; NBA 33.3% on 6 picks.
What's a 'good' win rate for sports prediction?
For binary moneyline picks against efficient lines, anything above ~52.4% beats the standard sportsbook hold. The more useful metric is closing-line value (CLV) — Pick1's internal target is +3% CLV, which is the academic gold standard for forecasting accuracy.
Could the numbers be faked?
The numbers come from the same Supabase Pick1 uses to power the app. Every pick row has a created_at timestamp set before the game. You can pull the public picks endpoint and verify any individual game's pick existed before kickoff via the Wayback Machine or social-share timestamps.
Every claim on this page links back to the public ledger and the live Pick1 app. Don't take our word for it — go look.