Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan's control time (8:41 vs Oliveira, 6:02 vs Hooker) against a Ruffy who logged just 5 sig strikes in his last loss

Tsarukyan (23-3) has won his last three fights on file and controlled the grappling in two of them — 2 takedowns and 6:02 of control with a submission attempt against Dan Hooker, and 2 takedowns with 8:41 of control against Charles Oliveira — plus a knockdown of Beneil Dariush. Ruffy (14-2) is legitimately explosive, with two knockdowns against Michael Chandler and one against Rafael Fiziev, but he was held to 5 significant strikes in his loss to Benoit Saint Denis and has logged no takedowns and under a minute of control in any of his last three. Tsarukyan's ability to take the fight to the mat and hold position is the likelier decider.