▲ WINWNBA · Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces·Golden State Valkyries @ 55%▲ WINWNBA · Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty·Atlanta Dream @ 57%▲ WINWNBA · New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream·Atlanta Dream @ 55%▼ LOSSWNBA · Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries·Las Vegas Aces @ 57%▲ WINATP · Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff·Daniil Medvedev @ 71%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery·Karen Khachanov @ 73%▲ WINATP · Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik·Jakub Mensik @ 74%▼ LOSSWNBA · Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries·Las Vegas Aces @ 58%▲ WINATP · Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac·Alexander Bublik @ 65%▼ LOSSATP · Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz·Novak Djokovic @ 67%▼ LOSSATP · Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli·Flavio Cobolli @ 71%▲ WINATP · Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima·Brandon Nakashima @ 60%▲ WINATP · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby·Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 61%▲ WINATP · Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier·Ben Shelton @ 88%▲ WINATP · Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe·Frances Tiafoe @ 72%▼ LOSSATP · Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx·Alexander Blockx @ 58%▲ WINWNBA · New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream·Atlanta Dream @ 55%▲ WINNBA · DAL vs HOU·HOU @ 57%▼ LOSSATP · Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev·Andrey Rublev @ 73%▼ LOSSATP · Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan·Alex de Minaur @ 77%▲ WINWNBA · Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces·Golden State Valkyries @ 55%▲ WINWNBA · Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty·Atlanta Dream @ 57%▲ WINWNBA · New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream·Atlanta Dream @ 55%▼ LOSSWNBA · Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries·Las Vegas Aces @ 57%▲ WINATP · Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff·Daniil Medvedev @ 71%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery·Karen Khachanov @ 73%▲ WINATP · Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik·Jakub Mensik @ 74%▼ LOSSWNBA · Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries·Las Vegas Aces @ 58%▲ WINATP · Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac·Alexander Bublik @ 65%▼ LOSSATP · Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz·Novak Djokovic @ 67%▼ LOSSATP · Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli·Flavio Cobolli @ 71%▲ WINATP · Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima·Brandon Nakashima @ 60%▲ WINATP · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby·Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 61%▲ WINATP · Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier·Ben Shelton @ 88%▲ WINATP · Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe·Frances Tiafoe @ 72%▼ LOSSATP · Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx·Alexander Blockx @ 58%▲ WINWNBA · New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream·Atlanta Dream @ 55%▲ WINNBA · DAL vs HOU·HOU @ 57%▼ LOSSATP · Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev·Andrey Rublev @ 73%▼ LOSSATP · Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan·Alex de Minaur @ 77%
▲ WinNFL*September 14, 2026
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs

Confidence
59%
Result
Win
Final
10–31
Key factor

Mahomes full practices; Chiefs 5-3-1 ATS at home

AI reasoning

Mahomes practiced in full every day nine months after tearing his ACL and LCL and will start, which is the single fact that separates this from the 20-13 and 22-19 losses Denver handed a Mahomes-less Kansas City in 2025. The offset is real: left tackle Josh Simmons (back) did not practice and Andy Reid said there is "a good chance" he sits, leaving undrafted rookie Kahlil Benson on the blind side against Denver's pass rush. Priced about right at -145; this sits on the market number rather than above it.

More from the Pick1 ledger

Want tomorrow's pick the moment it's published? Open the app — free, daily, no card.