Manchester City

United missing De Ligt, Baleba, Amad and Ugarte

City go to Old Trafford 3-0-0 with nine points and four straight wins in all competitions, including 2-0 at Porto, while United have four points from three league games and sit 11th after a 2-0 defeat at Hull. Carrick is without Matthijs de Ligt, Carlos Baleba, Amad Diallo and Manuel Ugarte, with Luke Shaw assessed late, and Haaland has scored eight goals in his last seven league meetings with United. bet365's 11/10 implies about 47%; the 56% here sits above the line specifically because of those four confirmed absences, and United's 10-1 home record under Carrick is what stops it going higher.